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The folks who conduct national polls are in hog heaven now that the election campaigns are in full swing. Typically, pollsters ask persons to rate candidates in theoretical head-to-head competitions: Clinton v Trump, Trump v Rubio, Rubio v Sanders. Responses to questions like that can be reported in easy-to-compare numbers: 54% of older male voters prefer Rubio to Sanders; 68% of college-educated women prefer Sanders to Clinton; 92% of morons like Trump better than anyone.
Then there are the more nebulous questions put to voters, questions intended to measure the way people feel about social, economic, and political trends. Unlike measures of possible election outcomes, people’s feelings about issues can’t be so easily quantified, so respondents must actually think for a moment and choose from among alternative adjectives: anxious, unsure, optimistic, and so on.
I was on my way to work the other morning when I heard NPR’s Dave Mattingly report that a majority of Americans feel uneasy about the direction the country is headed. I got to thinking about the question–the direction the country is headed — and wondered just what people have in mind when they respond to it. The question seems to ask voters to imagine some future condition or situation that they will find to be better or worse than how things are now. What scenarios do they envision, I wondered. What combination of national developments do they foresee in their minds’ eye?
For the country is, most certainly, going someplace. The North American continent sits atop several tectonic plates, immense slabs of the earth’s crust that float on beds of molten lava. All land masses do. These plates are always moving relative to each other. Their jostlings and collisions are what cause earthquakes. A million years ago the continental surface of the earth looked quite different from the way it looks today, and certainly a million years from now it will look different, too. So, in a very literal sense, the country is going someplace.
It would be refreshing, I thought, to hear people respond to the literal meaning of the question, “How do you feel about the direction the country is headed?”
“I think we’re headed too much toward the northeast.”
“I’m afraid we’re going to bump into Greenland.”
“If we drift any further south, it’ll squeeze the Rio Grande shut and all those Mexicans will be able to just walk into Texas.”
But then, as that last theoretical response illustrates, too many voters have no more understanding of continental drift than they do of basic geography. To them, anyone who lives south of the United States is a Mexican. (I know people who actually talk that way. They say things like, “Let’s make America great again,” as if all of America stops at the Mexican border and everything south of that is an undesirable piece of real estate.)
I wish it weren’t so. I wish most of the electorate actually knew what plate tectonics and continental drift are. I wish their education hadn’t stalled somewhere around fourth grade and that they were able to grasp concepts beyond what can be stated in a simple declarative sentence. I wish they appreciated nuances of thought and were able to see beyond the nearest shopping mall. If they did, I might feel better about the direction the country is headed.